SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
36.13% ( -0.03) | 23.93% ( 0) | 39.94% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( -0.03) | 40.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( -0.03) | 63% ( 0.03) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.03) | 22.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.03% ( -0.04) | 55.97% ( 0.04) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0) | 20.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.93% ( -0) | 53.07% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 5 | 43 | 39 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 32 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 23 | 29 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Ajax | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Heracles | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 8 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 8 |
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