Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 88.95%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 3.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.24%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
