SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Jong PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Telstar | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roda JC | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
41.43% ( 0.05) | 24.98% ( -0) | 33.59% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.94% ( -0.01) | 46.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% ( -0.01) | 68.36% ( 0.01) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( 0.02) | 22.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.42% ( 0.03) | 55.58% ( -0.03) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.04) | 26.4% ( 0.03) |
