SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 10.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 3-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Jong PSV |
74.31% ( 0.18) | 14.92% ( -0.1) | 10.77% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71% ( 0.32) | 29% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.03% ( 0.39) | 49.97% ( -0.38) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.37% ( 0.11) | 6.63% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.39% ( 0.29) | 24.61% ( -0.28) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0.11) | 38.32% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.93% ( 0.11) | 75.08% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.44% Total : 74.31% | 1-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 14.92% | 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 10.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 82 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 43 | 55 | 82 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 67 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 63 | 1 | 59 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 50 |
| 12 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 49 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 43 |
| 16 | Roda JC | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 84 | -38 | 35 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
