SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Den Bosch |
73.7% ( -0.01) | 15.19% ( 0.01) | 11.11% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0.05) | 29.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.61% ( -0.06) | 50.39% ( 0.07) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.18% ( -0.01) | 6.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.87% ( -0.04) | 25.13% ( 0.04) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( -0.04) | 37.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.24% ( -0.04) | 74.76% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.61% 4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 4.31% Total : 73.7% | 1-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.19% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 11.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 42 | 56 | 79 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 35 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 92 | 37 | 55 | 79 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 59 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 57 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 56 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 50 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 49 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 47 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Roda JC | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 42 |
| 15 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 40 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 33 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 35 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 73 | -32 | 32 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 35 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 32 | 61 | -29 | 26 |
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