SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Emmen | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Groningen | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | RKC Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
47.21% ( -5.12) | 24.94% ( 1.48) | 27.85% ( 3.64) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( -3.52) | 48.39% ( 3.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( -3.3) | 70.53% ( 3.3) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -3.4) | 20.54% ( 3.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.95% ( -5.67) | 53.05% ( 5.67) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( 1.03) | 31.45% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.17% ( 1.18) | 67.83% ( -1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.57)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.79)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.82)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.57)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.55)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.21% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.78) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 1.21) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.63)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.8)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.35)Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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