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Friday, September 9
May 15, 2022 at 1.30pm UK at Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II
3 - 0
Utrecht
Hornkamp (8'), Saddiki (53'), van Overeem (73' og.)
Llonch (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gustafson (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Eredivisie

We said: Willem II 1-0 FC Utrecht

While their destiny is currently not in their own hands, Willem will be looking to give themselves a last shot at survival with all three points in this one. We are fancying them to emerge victorious, albeit by only the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawFC Utrecht
29.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.36%44.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84%49.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.22% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.46% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)55.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 29.74%
    FC Utrecht 44.88%
    Draw 25.35%
Willem IIDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.74%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 4.63%
0-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 44.88%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambuur 1-1 Willem II
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-0 Heracles
Saturday, May 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-2 Willem II
Sunday, May 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, April 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 Willem II
Friday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Willem II
Saturday, April 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 AZ
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, May 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 NEC
Friday, April 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Utrecht
Sunday, April 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, April 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax55001631315
2Feyenoord5410145913
3AZ AlkmaarAZ5410103713
4PSV EindhovenPSV54012371612
5FC Twente5401102812
6Heerenveen52306159
7Sparta RotterdamSparta52127437
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk513110826
9NEC51316426
10SBV Excelsior5203816-86
11FC UtrechtUtrecht5122810-25
12Groningen5122510-55
13Cambuur511348-44
14Vitesse5113614-84
15EmmenEmmen5113514-94
16FC VolendamVolendam5113517-124
17Go Ahead Eagles5005513-80
18Fortuna SittardSittard5005716-90
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