Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.