SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
43.48% ( -2.28) | 26.8% ( 1.07) | 29.71% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( -2.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% ( -3.67) | 54.96% ( 3.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.76% ( -3.12) | 76.23% ( 3.12) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -2.7) | 25.08% ( 2.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.23% ( -3.88) | 59.76% ( 3.88) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( -1.02) | 33.47% ( 1.02) |
