SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Volendam |
62.67% ( -1.01) | 20.27% ( 0.94) | 17.06% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -3.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% ( -4.34) | 40.24% ( 4.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.38% ( -4.62) | 62.61% ( 4.62) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.72% ( -1.56) | 12.27% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.97% ( -3.36) | 38.02% ( 3.36) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( -2.58) | 36.91% ( 2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.29% ( -2.66) | 73.7% ( 2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 9.51% ( 1.28)3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.44)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.36)5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.29)Other @ 3.71% Total : 62.67% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.85)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.58)0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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