SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
52.8% ( -0.48) | 23.1% ( 0.42) | 24.1% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( -1.86) | 43.41% ( 1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( -1.86) | 65.81% ( 1.86) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.83) | 16.44% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( -1.53) | 46.13% ( 1.53) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( -0.96) | 31.78% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( -1.12) | 68.21% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.1% |
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