SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Peterborough United |
46.73% ( 0.18) | 25.15% ( -0.07) | 28.12% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( 0.23) | 49.12% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( 0.21) | 71.19% ( -0.2) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( 0.18) | 21.04% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.16% ( 0.27) | 53.84% ( -0.27) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( 0.04) | 31.62% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( 0.04) | 68.03% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.12% |
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