SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Peterborough United |
29.67% ( -0.02) | 27.29% | 43.04% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.19% ( -0.02) | 56.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% ( -0.01) | 77.73% ( 0.01) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( -0.02) | 34.48% ( 0.02) |
