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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 35.82% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newport County win is 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
35.82% ( 2) | 24.38% ( -0.47) | 39.8% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 59.92% ( 2.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( 2.55) | 42.81% ( -2.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( 2.48) | 65.21% ( -2.48) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 2.33) | 23.6% ( -2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( 3.25) | 57.68% ( -3.25) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.37) | 21.56% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.36% ( 0.56) | 54.64% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.13% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.28)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.6)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.82)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.8% |
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