SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterborough United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
40.03% ( -0.01) | 25.11% ( -0.08) | 34.86% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.13% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( 0.36) | 46.36% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( 0.33) | 68.65% ( -0.34) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( 0.15) | 23% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( 0.23) | 56.8% ( -0.23) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.22) | 25.8% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( 0.29) | 60.75% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 34.86% |
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