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League One | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
BA

Wigan
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Aasgaard (31')
Smith (28'), Norburn (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dadi Bodvarsson (33'), Burrell (59')
Dodgson (4'), Webster (8'), Watt (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Burton Albion

As the season goes on, the likelihood of a miraculous escape by Albion is becoming less likely, though desperation may inspire a spirited performance from the visitors on Tuesday. Given the Latics' dire home form, it is unlikely that the Brewers will get many better opportunities than this to put points on the board, but it will still be a tough fight for all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw has a probability of 25.9% and a win for Burton Albion has a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burton Albion win it is 0-1 (7.93%).

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
52.64% (-2.015 -2.02) 25.86% (0.927 0.93) 21.49% (1.088 1.09)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-1.1 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-2.215 -2.22)57.05% (2.213 2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-1.799 -1.8)77.94% (1.799 1.8)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-1.72 -1.72)21.75% (1.718 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-2.694 -2.69)54.93% (2.694 2.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (-0.125 -0.13)41.83% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.11 -0.11)78.29% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 52.64%
    Burton Albion 21.49%
    Draw 25.86%
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.88% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.37 -0.37)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.245 -0.25)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.744 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.623 0.62)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.261 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 21.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-2 Wigan
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wigan 0-3 Birmingham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Wigan
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wigan
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 Peterborough
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Burton Albion
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One


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