SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United |
35.18% ( 0.28) | 24.92% ( 0.05) | 39.9% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.19) | 45.46% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.18) | 67.8% ( 0.18) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.08) | 25.19% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( 0.11) | 59.92% ( -0.1) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -0.25) | 22.68% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( -0.37) | 56.32% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.9% |
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