Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
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