Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
-0.03) 
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