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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
56.64% ( 0.04) | 21.02% ( -0.04) | 22.34% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.11% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0.19) | 35.66% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.28% ( 0.21) | 57.72% ( -0.21) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( 0.07) | 12.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.4% ( 0.16) | 38.6% ( -0.15) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( 0.11) | 28.97% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.14% ( 0.14) | 64.86% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.21% Total : 56.64% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 22.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 62 | 30 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Heracles | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 73 | 32 | 41 | 54 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 46 |
| 4 | Willem II | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 43 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 42 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 41 |
| 7 | Jong AZJong AZ | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | TelstarTelstar | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Roda JC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 28 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | TOP OssOss | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
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