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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
41.71% ( -0.34) | 24.33% ( 0.15) | 33.95% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% ( -0.65) | 42.98% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.62% ( -0.64) | 65.38% ( 0.64) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( -0.43) | 20.74% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.64% ( -0.68) | 53.36% ( 0.68) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( -0.19) | 24.72% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.73% ( -0.27) | 59.27% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 85 | 36 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Heracles | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 67 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 52 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 50 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 49 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 45 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 43 |
| 12 | Roda JC | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 41 |
| 14 | Jong AZJong AZ | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 37 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 31 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 30 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 32 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 30 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 23 |
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