MX23RW : Friday, January 27 22:59:52
SM
Oct 21, 2022 at 7pm UK at Polman Stadion
Heracles
3 - 0
FC Eindhoven
Hoogma (26'), Les (33'), Rente (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brym (40'), Peijnenburg (60')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and FC Eindhoven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-2 Heracles
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 2-1 Oss
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawFC Eindhoven
63.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 20.37% (-0.032 -0.03) 16.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (0.149 0.15)41.72% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.149 0.15)64.12% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.058999999999997 0.06)12.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29% (0.117 0.12)38.71% (-0.115 -0.12)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54% (0.086999999999996 0.09)38.46% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79% (0.084 0.08)75.21% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 63.09%
    FC Eindhoven 16.52%
    Draw 20.37%
HeraclesDrawFC Eindhoven
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.09%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 16.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-2 Heracles
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 3-2 De Graafschap
Friday, October 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Den Bosch 1-2 Heracles
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Helmond
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-3 Heracles
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 5-3 VVV-Venlo
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 2-1 Oss
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-0 FC Eindhoven
Friday, October 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-1 Dordrecht
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 3-3 Roda JC
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Monday, September 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 5-0 MVV
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
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Eerste Divisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PEC Zwolle21162353223150
2Heracles21142556272944
3FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21116436251139
4Almere CityAlmere City2212373427739
5VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2210663130136
6MVV MaastrichtMVV2110564036435
7Jong AZJong AZ229583531432
8Roda JC219483128331
9NAC BredaNAC Breda229493436-231
10Willem II208662822630
11TelstarTelstar227872329-629
12De GraafschapDe Graafschap217593334-126
13ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag226792432-825
14Jong PSVJong PSV216693234-224
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax225983639-324
16Den BoschDen Bosch2272133244-1223
17Dordrecht2265112437-1323
18Helmond SportHelmond2264121936-1722
19TOP OssOss2253142240-1818
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2144132034-1416
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