SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
52.55% ( -0.05) | 22.8% ( -0.01) | 24.65% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.51% ( 0.12) | 41.49% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( 0.12) | 63.89% ( -0.12) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( 0.03) | 15.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.98% ( 0.04) | 45.02% ( -0.04) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( 0.11) | 30.29% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.53% ( 0.13) | 66.46% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.55% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Heracles | 28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 60 |
| 3 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 51 |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 49 |
| 5 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 44 |
| 7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Roda JC | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 39 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | TelstarTelstar | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 31 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 30 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 20 |
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