SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong FC Utrecht | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 20 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Almere City | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Willem II | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong Ajax |
54.29% ( -0.06) | 21.98% ( 0.3) | 23.72% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.45% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( -1.73) | 38.64% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.05% ( -1.85) | 60.95% ( 1.85) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.74% ( -0.61) | 14.26% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.96% ( -1.2) | 42.03% ( 1.19) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -1.15) | 29.49% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.5% ( -1.43) | 65.5% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.49)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 42 | 56 | 79 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 35 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 92 | 37 | 55 | 79 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 59 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 57 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 56 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 50 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 49 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 47 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Roda JC | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 42 |
| 15 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 40 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 33 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 35 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 73 | -32 | 32 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 35 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 32 | 61 | -29 | 26 |
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