SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
49.38% ( 0.9) | 23.5% ( -0.67) | 27.13% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( 2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( 2.83) | 42.54% ( -2.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( 2.76) | 64.95% ( -2.76) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( 1.44) | 17.37% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.22% ( 2.46) | 47.78% ( -2.46) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( 1.3) | 28.94% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.18% ( 1.58) | 64.82% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.7)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.38% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.66)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.57)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 27.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 60 |
| 2 | Heracles | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 57 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 45 |
| 5 | Willem II | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 | TOP OssOss | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 28 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 20 |
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