Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
52.1% ( -0.84) | 23.86% ( 0.16) | 24.04% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.2% ( -0.04) | 46.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -0.04) | 69.06% ( 0.04) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( -0.33) | 17.95% ( 0.33) |