SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong FC Utrecht | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Den Bosch | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | MVV Maastricht | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 56.31%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Den Bosch |
56.31% ( 0.16) | 21.53% ( -0.04) | 22.16% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.64% ( 0.05) | 38.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.35% ( 0.05) | 60.64% ( -0.05) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% ( 0.06) | 13.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.4% ( 0.13) | 40.6% ( -0.13) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( -0.07) | 30.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.1% ( -0.09) | 66.9% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 22.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 57 |
| 2 | Heracles | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 73 | 32 | 41 | 54 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 46 |
| 4 | Willem II | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 43 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 42 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Jong AZJong AZ | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | TelstarTelstar | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Roda JC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 28 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | TOP OssOss | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
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