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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Helmond Sport |
64.24% ( -1.03) | 19.78% ( 0.46) | 15.98% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( -0.98) | 40.04% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( -1.02) | 62.41% ( 1.02) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( -0.56) | 11.78% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.02% ( -1.21) | 36.98% ( 1.22) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( 0.13) | 38.1% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.13% ( 0.12) | 74.86% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.23% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.78% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 15.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 82 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 43 | 55 | 82 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 67 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 63 | 1 | 59 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 50 |
| 12 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 49 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 43 |
| 16 | Roda JC | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 84 | -38 | 35 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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