SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Helmond Sport |
53.65% ( -0.16) | 23.37% ( 0.09) | 22.98% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( -0.29) | 45.78% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.28) | 68.09% ( 0.28) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( -0.16) | 17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.89% ( -0.29) | 47.12% ( 0.29) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.09) | 34.05% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.26% ( -0.1) | 70.74% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.65% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 60 |
| 2 | Heracles | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 57 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 45 |
| 5 | Willem II | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 | TOP OssOss | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 28 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 20 |
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