SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
16.77% ( -0.43) | 19.82% ( -0.07) | 63.41% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.31% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.32% ( -0.46) | 38.68% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.02% ( -0.49) | 60.98% ( 0.5) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0.79) | 36.3% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.92% ( -0.81) | 73.08% ( 0.81) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% ( 0) | 11.6% ( 0) |
