Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
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