SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
25.68% ( -0.01) | 24.16% ( -0.03) | 50.16% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( 0.11) | 46.63% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( 0.11) | 68.9% ( -0.11) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( 0.05) | 32.21% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.3% ( 0.05) | 68.71% ( -0.06) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( 0.06) | 18.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.06% ( 0.1) | 49.94% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Heracles | 28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 60 |
| 3 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 51 |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 49 |
| 5 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 44 |
| 7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Roda JC | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 39 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | TelstarTelstar | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 31 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 30 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 20 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
