SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | NAC Breda |
30.67% ( 0.67) | 23.54% ( -0.15) | 45.8% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( 1.09) | 40.47% ( -1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% ( 1.11) | 62.84% ( -1.11) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.97) | 25.49% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.67% ( 1.31) | 60.33% ( -1.3) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( 0.23) | 17.96% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.2% ( 0.38) | 48.8% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.67% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.75% Total : 45.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 57 |
| 2 | Heracles | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 66 | 32 | 34 | 51 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 42 |
| 5 | Willem II | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 39 |
| 7 | Jong AZJong AZ | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 31 |
| 14 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Dordrecht | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 26 |
| 18 | Helmond SportHelmond | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 26 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 20 |
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