SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Telstar |
40.99% ( -0.13) | 24.23% ( -0.02) | 34.78% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% ( 0.12) | 42.27% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% ( 0.12) | 64.68% ( -0.13) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.01) | 20.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.58% ( -0.02) | 53.41% ( 0.01) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.14) | 23.92% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.86% ( 0.2) | 58.14% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 40.99% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 85 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 99 | 43 | 56 | 85 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 68 |
| 5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 53 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 52 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Roda JC | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 43 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 43 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 37 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 35 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 46 | 85 | -39 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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