SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Telstar |
47.9% ( 0) | 24.44% | 27.65% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.94% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( -0.01) | 46.39% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% ( -0.01) | 68.67% ( 0) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( -0) | 19.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.71% | 51.29% ( -0) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.01) | 30.55% ( 0.01) |
