SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 11.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
71.25% ( -5.11) | 16.77% ( 2.69) | 11.98% ( 2.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -1.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( -6.44) | 34.93% ( 6.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( -7.56) | 56.91% ( 7.56) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.34% ( -2.52) | 8.66% ( 2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.15% ( -6.57) | 29.85% ( 6.57) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.53% ( -0.34) | 40.48% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.92% ( -0.31) | 77.08% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.73)1-0 @ 8.58% ( 1.7)3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.41)4-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.99)4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.95)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.91)5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.86)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.45)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.4)6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.57)6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.53)Other @ 2.9% Total : 71.24% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( 1.48) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.29)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 1.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.77% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.64) 0-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.92)0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.19)Other @ 1.52% Total : 11.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 76 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 56 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
| 19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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