SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
31.72% ( 0.6) | 23.88% ( 0.04) | 44.39% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 60.43% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.1) | 41.62% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% ( 0.1) | 64.02% ( -0.1) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( 0.42) | 25.4% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.79% ( 0.57) | 60.2% ( -0.57) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.22) | 19% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.45% ( -0.38) | 50.55% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Heracles | 28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 60 |
| 3 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 51 |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 49 |
| 5 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 44 |
| 7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Roda JC | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 39 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | TelstarTelstar | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 31 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 30 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 20 |
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