SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
40.92% ( 1.43) | 23.36% ( -0.01) | 35.72% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.1% ( -0.15) | 37.9% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( -0.16) | 60.15% ( 0.17) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.57) | 18.96% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.52% ( 0.95) | 50.48% ( -0.94) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.78) | 21.41% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.59% ( -1.21) | 54.41% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 60 |
| 2 | Heracles | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 57 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 45 |
| 5 | Willem II | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 | TOP OssOss | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 28 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 20 |
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