SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Willem II |
24.64% ( 0.8) | 24.7% ( 0.35) | 50.66% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.73) | 49.77% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.66) | 71.78% ( 0.66) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( 0.3) | 34.77% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.49% ( 0.32) | 71.51% ( -0.32) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( -0.74) | 19.65% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.38% ( -1.23) | 51.62% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.64% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 85 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 99 | 43 | 56 | 85 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 68 |
| 5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 53 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 52 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Roda JC | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 43 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 43 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 37 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 35 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 46 | 85 | -39 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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