SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Dordrecht |
70.7% ( -0.08) | 16.99% ( -0.02) | 12.3% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0.38) | 35.18% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.81% ( 0.43) | 57.19% ( -0.43) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( 0.08) | 8.85% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.7% ( 0.19) | 30.3% ( -0.2) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( 0.42) | 40.13% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.23% ( 0.38) | 76.77% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 70.69% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.99% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 42 | 56 | 79 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 35 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 92 | 37 | 55 | 79 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 66 |
| 4 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 57 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 56 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 56 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 50 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 49 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 47 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Roda JC | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 42 |
| 15 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 40 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 33 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 35 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 73 | -32 | 32 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 35 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 32 | 61 | -29 | 26 |
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