SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
29.67% ( 0.37) | 23.49% ( 0.5) | 46.83% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 60.67% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.2% ( -2.13) | 40.8% ( 2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.81% ( -2.21) | 63.19% ( 2.21) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( -0.83) | 26.29% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.59% ( -1.11) | 61.41% ( 1.12) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -1.14) | 17.68% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.68% ( -2.02) | 48.32% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.84% Total : 46.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 83 | 32 | 51 | 72 |
| 2 | Heracles | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 36 | 51 | 67 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Willem II | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 52 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 47 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 47 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 46 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 43 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
| 11 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 42 |
| 12 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | Jong AZJong AZ | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 41 |
| 14 | Roda JC | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 35 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 31 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 31 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 75 | -33 | 30 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 20 |
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