SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
43.07% ( 2.16) | 23.19% ( 0.15) | 33.74% ( -2.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.83% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.5% ( -1.33) | 37.5% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.27% ( -1.44) | 59.73% ( 1.43) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( 0.36) | 17.88% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.34% ( 0.62) | 48.66% ( -0.62) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -1.81) | 22.27% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.29% ( -2.79) | 55.71% ( 2.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.88% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.38% Total : 33.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 57 |
| 2 | Heracles | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 66 | 32 | 34 | 51 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 42 |
| 5 | Willem II | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 39 |
| 7 | Jong AZJong AZ | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 31 |
| 14 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Dordrecht | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 26 |
| 18 | Helmond SportHelmond | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 26 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 20 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
