SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Willem II |
17.12% ( 0.26) | 20.74% ( -0.08) | 62.15% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.69% ( 0.81) | 42.31% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( 0.8) | 64.71% ( -0.8) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( 0.79) | 38.1% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.14% ( 0.75) | 74.86% ( -0.75) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 0.2) | 13.06% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.35% ( 0.41) | 39.65% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.22% Total : 17.12% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.74% | 0-2 @ 10.3% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.29)1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.99% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 57 |
| 2 | Heracles | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 47 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Willem II | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Roda JC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 34 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
| 15 | Dordrecht | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 25 |
| 18 | Helmond SportHelmond | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 21 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 17 |
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