SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Eindhoven in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
37.72% ( 0.06) | 25.62% ( 0.02) | 36.65% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.07) | 48.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.07) | 70.6% ( 0.06) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% | 25.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.11% | 59.88% ( -0) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.08) | 25.75% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.3% ( -0.1) | 60.69% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 60 |
| 2 | Heracles | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 57 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 45 |
| 5 | Willem II | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 | TOP OssOss | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 28 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 20 |
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