SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Heracles |
33.05% ( -0.04) | 23.94% ( -0.01) | 43.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.6% ( 0.03) | 41.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.21% ( 0.03) | 63.79% ( -0.02) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( -0.01) | 24.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.04% ( -0.02) | 58.96% ( 0.02) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.04) | 19.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.63% ( 0.05) | 51.37% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)1-4 @ 2% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 43.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 60 |
| 2 | Heracles | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 57 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 45 |
| 5 | Willem II | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 | TOP OssOss | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 28 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 20 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
