SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
28.83% ( -0.95) | 23.54% ( 0.14) | 47.62% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 59.92% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( -1.25) | 41.54% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( -1.28) | 63.94% ( 1.27) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -1.26) | 27.22% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.36% ( -1.66) | 62.63% ( 1.66) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.17) | 17.66% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.71% ( -0.3) | 48.28% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 9 | EmmenEmmen | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 32 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 19 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 16 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
