SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
49.72% ( -0.32) | 23.55% ( 0.06) | 26.73% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.08) | 43.08% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( -0.08) | 65.48% ( 0.08) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( -0.15) | 17.45% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.1% ( -0.26) | 47.9% ( 0.26) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.15) | 29.52% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.47% ( 0.18) | 65.53% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.73% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Willem II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | EmmenEmmen | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Helmond SportHelmond | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 12 | Groningen | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | TelstarTelstar | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 9 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 6 |
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