SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Emmen |
61.29% ( 0.07) | 20.56% ( -0.02) | 18.15% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0.01) | 39.66% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( -0.01) | 62.01% ( 0) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( 0.01) | 12.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.53% ( 0.04) | 38.46% ( -0.04) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.06) | 35.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.91% ( -0.06) | 72.09% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 61.29% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 18.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 9 | EmmenEmmen | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 32 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
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