SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Emmen |
31.2% ( -0.04) | 24.43% ( 0) | 44.36% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( -0.04) | 44.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.04) | 66.76% ( 0.03) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.04) | 27.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.54% ( -0.06) | 62.45% ( 0.05) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0) | 20.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.59% ( -0) | 52.41% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 9 | EmmenEmmen | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 32 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
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