SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Telstar |
62.08% ( -0.52) | 20.95% ( 0.33) | 16.97% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.49% ( -1.15) | 43.51% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( -1.14) | 65.9% ( 1.14) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( -0.52) | 13.46% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.55% ( -1.04) | 40.45% ( 1.04) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( -0.46) | 38.99% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.29% ( -0.44) | 75.71% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.04% Total : 62.07% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.95% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | EmmenEmmen | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Willem II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Helmond SportHelmond | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 | Cambuur | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Jong AZJong AZ | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 5 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | TelstarTelstar | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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